Model: Simulating When an Infection Starts to Slow

Distributions


This model, developed by Palisade consultant José Raúl Castro, uses @RISK to simulate when, after the start of a pandemic, the spread of an infection will start to slow. The assumptions were built using approximate data for the COVID-19 pandemic, and applied to a hypothetical population of 1,000 individuals. The simulation examines 1,000 different scenarios (iterations of a simulation).